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Posts Tagged ‘Growth’

Can Emerging Market Growth Continue?

05 Nov

We’ve all heard about the amazing growth taking place in developing countries and how the global economy will never be the same again. But countries like China, India and Vietnam seem so far away. It can be hard to understand how those marketplaces can affect the individual investor here in the U.S.A. After my recent trip to Cambodia, I’m here to tell you that emerging markets aren’t some short-lived fad. We’ve only begun to see the impact they will have in the financial markets.


My wife and I had visited Cambodia last March, but this time was different. Besides having our four children along for the experience, the signs of a growing economy were everywhere. Construction was taking place all around Phnom Penh, the nation’s capital. A new 42 story office building had broken ground, the country’s first skyscraper. It’s being financed by a South Korean company. A huge new complex of shops and office buildings were coming up on old rice fields north of town in a special economic zone.


Masses of new apartment buildings were being constructed. The prices of these condo/apartments continue to increase. Those that were $40,000 when construction started are now $100,000. Land values continue to soar exponentially. More people can afford cars. Everyone has a cell phone. Universities and schools teaching everything from nursing to English classes to management and computer skills are popping up on every corner. And the schools are packed.


The city continues to improve its infrastructure with the paving of roads and improvement of their drainage system, which is important during the monsoon season. Internet access is growing, as is the availability of cable television. But there’s much work to be done. Power outages occur almost daily. The municipal water isn’t potable. The sewer system has a very limited reach. There is no mass public transportation service in a city of well over 1 million. There’s little garbage collection.


Just outside of town, the picture is even starker. When you travel out to the provinces, it’s like stepping back in time. Once you get off the main highway, there are no paved roads. Many homes are simple wooden shacks with thatch roofs. Naked children play with sticks in the road next to ditches that are little more than open sewers. Electricity comes from generators that operate a few hours a day. Health care is almost non-existent. The rice grown in the fields hardly supplies enough grain for each family’s yearly needs.


Not all provincial families live in dire poverty. But the majority do. The young people don’t want the same life their parents have. They want more. And they’re willing to work for it. Many of them turn to the garment factories, where by working six to seven days a week, ten to twelve hours a day, they can make $100 a month. In country where unemployment can reach 50%, that’s a nice sum of money. But it’s not much of a life.


Others realize that education is their ticket to a better future. The church we visited and were working with offers free English and computer classes. Over 200 students jam every available room of the building four nights a week. In addition, all of these kids attend either high school or university during the day. Many of them came from the provinces and plan to send money they earn back home to help support their families.


So if you think the emerging markets, is just the latest financial talk point, think again. The story in Cambodia is the same story all over Asia. These people want a better life. They want a higher standard of living. They are becoming educated. Their countries are only beginning to improve their infrastructure. Astute companies from around the world are investing big bucks into these economies. And the growth is only going to increase.


This isn’t a five year fad. It will take decades for these countries to grow into modern nations. But there’s no going back. The young people we met are determined and focused. This generation will do what it takes to succeed.


Your generation worked very hard to achieve financial security. In today’s changing global marketplace, you’ll have to invest smarter in order to maintain it. In next week’s article, I’ll give you practical steps to take advantage of the opportunities these emerging markets provide.

 

Annuities: Equity-Indexed Annuities: There Are Better Growth Alternatives

19 Sep

Everybody wants to find the secret to investing on Wall Street. But the truth is, you don’t have to be a genius to be a successful equity investor. And you don’t have to lock your money into restrictive investments like equity indexed annuities (EIAs), either. In this article I’ll explain several growth oriented investments that I feel are far better than an EIA.


The opportunity for growth in an EIA is based on the performance of an index. When someone invests in an EIA, they typically have several different indexes they can choose from. An index is simply a means of tracking a group of investments. Typically, EIAs will offer indexes that track the S&P 500, the NASDAQ or the bond market.


EIAs restrict your growth opportunity. Most place a limit on how much you can earn in any one year. If the ‘cap’ is at 10% and the underlying index goes up 25% or 50% like it did in 2003 you will only earn the cap of 10%. And even if the underlying index goes up 10%, that doesn’t mean you will earn 10% because many annuities only allow you to participate in a portion of the return of the index or they have internal charges that would reduce your return by 1-2%.


One great alternative for the growth portion of your money would be a No-Load Index Fund based on the S&P 500 index. These are available from many mutual fund companies including Vanguard. Since they are not actively managed they have low internal fees. Since they are No-Load, there aren’t any commissions to pay so you don’t have any automatic surrender penalties. This gives you the flexibility to take your money out or rearrange it whenever you want to or need to. And you don’t have to share a portion of your return with an insurance company.


Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) are another alternative. They work just like the Index Fund described above but typically have even lower internal expenses. ETFs can be bought and sold any time throughout the day whereas mutual funds can only be bought or sold at the end of the day. When the market is undergoing a significant correction, the ability to get in or out during the day can be helpful. There are transactions fees associated with ETFs so they should only be used in amounts greater than $25,000.


Actively managed mutual funds that invest in stocks are another great way to invest. For instance, I use several No-Load mutual funds for my clients that have consistently out-performed the S&P 500. The advantage of an actively managed mutual fund over an unmanaged index fund is that the money manager isn’t required to own every stock in the underlying index. They can pick and choose the ones that have the best opportunity. They can sell stocks that become more risky (think Enron and Worldcom) and they can move money to cash during periods of market decline.


Lastly, Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) are a good alternative for the growth portion of your money. In addition to their ability to provide a steady income stream mentioned above, they also have the ability to grow over time. If you don’t need the current income, it can be reinvested to compound and further enhance the return. Additionally, REITs do not fluctuate in price based on the stock market or interest rates. Because of this, having a portion of your money in REITs can reduce the volatility of your portfolio while increasing its return.


So as you can see, there are many viable alternatives to investing in an EIA. In my opinion, these alternatives are better because they give you greater flexibility to use your money if and when you need to, to make changes should the investment not perform as you expect, to reduce your overall risk by spreading your eggs among a greater number of baskets and they allow you to earn a higher overall return than the EIA.

 

Annuities: Equity-Indexed Annuities: There Are Better Growth Alternatives ( Stability)

16 Sep

Every investor would like to increase their income without compromising their stability. Maybe that’s why Equity Indexed Annuities (EIAs) have become so popular, because of their promise of providing a stable income stream. But there are a number of ways that you can easily outperform what an EIA can deliver. In this article, I’ll show you how to meet your need for stability and income in your portfolio.


One of the main sales-points of EIAs is their promise of a stable income stream. Many nervous investors are comforted by the thought of a guaranteed minimum return on their investment of 3%, especially in today’s low interest rate environment. They’re willing to accept this small return, because they think they are able to participate in the growth of the stock market without all the risk.


But what these investors have done is confuse objectives with risks. Because of their fear of losing money in the stock market, they settle for a paltry return. They’re trying to meet 2 objectives: growth and stability, with the same investment. How much better it would be for them if they used separate investments for their different objectives.


Growth and stability investments each have their own set of risks and rewards. By combining the use of both, the risks balance each other and you get the rewards of both. Unfortunately in an EIA, its growth potential is severely limited by caps and high fees. Next week I’ll discuss how to boost your returns in your growth investments. Right now, let’s take a look at how easy it is for you to outperform the guaranteed rates of EIAs.


There are many better alternatives for the stable portion of your money. These include government guaranteed Certificates of Deposit (CDs), U.S. Treasury Inflation Indexed Securities (TIPS), government and corporate bonds, guaranteed investment contracts (GICs), and Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs).


These alternatives can provide the stability you are looking for without forcing you to commit to them for 10 years. More importantly, if anything happens and you decide you want YOUR money back, you have much greater flexibility in these alternatives than you would in an EIA. On a CD for instance, the penalty for taking your money out early is typically a maximum of 6 months worth of interest. That’s considerably less than the 3+ years worth of interest penalty on some EIAs.


The rates of return on these stable alternatives are also better then the 3% offered by an EIA. Three year CDs are being advertised in my local paper pay just over 3%. TIPs are paying close to that and can increase what they pay as inflation returns. Government and Corporate bonds historically have averaged 5-6%. Even though they pay less than that today, interest rates are expected to rise over the next few years. Why would you want to tie your money up long-term at 3% in an EIA when interest rates are at 40 year lows?


REITs can provide a stable income and are a good alternative. For instance, many of my clients have invested a portion of their money in a REIT that is yielding 8.3% and pays the interest monthly. Another is yielding 7%. There are closed end mutual funds that invest in REITs that regular pay between 5% and 8%.


Guaranteed Investment Contracts are like Certificates of Deposit but are offered by insurance companies. They are not FDIC insured but are backed by the ability of the insurance company to repay the money when due–just like all the money you would invest in an EIA. GICs from well-established insurance companies currently pay 3%.


You aren’t required to only choose one of these stable alternatives, either. Depending on the size of the stable portion of your investment, it could be divided between several of the alternatives to increase your safety and flexibility.


The key to having a stable income stream from your investments is to retain flexibility and control, while also keeping a healthy diversification between categories, maturities and issuers. As you can see, it isn’t that difficult to outperform an Equity Indexed Annuity. And you won’t have to lock up your money in the process.